Anthropic2026变革性AI的经济情景报告.docx

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EconomicScenariosforTransformativeAI*

AntonKorinek,CharlesI.Jones,SzymonSacher,TessCotter,andPeterMcCrory

TheAnthropicInstituteWorkingPaperNo.2026-02

September2026

Abstract

ThispaperpresentsaframeworkforassessingtheeconomicconsequencesofAIbetween2026and2030.Inth

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