2026年中全球预测报告-冲击、信号与未来走向.pdf

2026年中全球预测报告-冲击、信号与未来走向.pdf

2026SHOCKS,SIGNALSANDWHATCOMESNEXT

Sixmonthsago,theprevailingviewfor2026wasthattheglobal

economywouldsimplymuddlethrough.Welargelyagreed,while

notingthatthemarginforerrorlookedunusuallythin.Sofar,that

assessmenthasheld,althoughithasbeentestedrepeatedl

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