美国数学建模竞赛特等奖论文——2000 A O The Iron Laws of Air Traffic Control【数学建模】.pdfVIP

The Iron Laws of Air Traffic Control 269 The Iron Laws of Air Traffic Control Kevin Arnett Jonathan S. Gibbs John J. Horton U.S. Military Academy West Point, NY Advisor: David Bailey Introduction We focus our analysis on two key system design specifications: • how the Air Traffic Control System accomplishes its requirements (the safe routing of aircraft through a sector of airspace), and • what computational and time demands are generated by the traffic load. We develop a solution that takes into account factors such as knowledge of proposed flight paths, orientation of aircraft, and acceptable probability of an accident. We develop two separate models to analyze situations where in-flight conflicts arise. • The first examines the position of aircraft through three-dimensional normal probability distributions to develop the likelihood of a collision. • The second uses vector calculus and dynamics to develop real-time data on the likely trajectory of an aircraft, making no assumptions that the aircraft are flying along a predetermined path. Two other models use analogies to other fields to provide metrics of com- plexity of the workload of the air traffic controller (ATC), one focusing on the inherent complexity of an airspace (analogous to fluid flow) and the other on number of aircraft. Of our four models, we are able to validate only two, the probability dis- tribution model for likelihood of collision and the airspace complexity model. The implementation and validation are straightforward and we omit them due to time considerations. c The UMAP Journal 21 (3) (2000) 269–282. Copyright 2000 by COMAP, Inc. All rights reserved. Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commerci