定期报告房地产市场企稳经济复苏基础仍然疲弱.pdfVIP

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定期报告房地产市场企稳经济复苏基础仍然疲弱.pdf

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Report | Macro Analysis Regular Report Housing Prices on the Rise Amid Weak Economic Recovery 3 July 2012 US Economic Data Weekly Wrap （1st Week July) Key Data Economic Data/Event Review: USA % 11 12E  The SP/Case-Shiller 20-city composite index gained 1.3%, with 19 out of GDP 1.7 2.0 20 cities registering gains, which indicated a broader recovery in the housing market. CPI 3.17 2.5  New home sales in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of Unemployment 9.0 8.2 Trade 369 thousand. The median price of new homes sold was $234500 in May, up 5.73% balance/GDP -3.14 -3.0 YoY, implied an improved housing market. A supply of 4.7 months at the current Fiscal -8.2 -7.2 sales rate will bolster the housing market correction. balance/GDP  Pending home sales climbed 5.9% in May, hitting the level of April 2010, Policy rate 0.25 0.25 Dollar Index 80.187 81.0 which is expected to support the existing home sales in the next 1-2 months. Eurozone  Orders for long-lasting U.S. goods rose 1.1% in May, mainly due to the % 11 12E increase in orders for transportation equipments. As the impacts brought by the tax GDP 1.4 -0.5 stimulus at the end of last year dissipate, corporate spendings will be gradually CPI 2.69 2.1 restored. However, weak orders in March and April will put pressure on U.S. Unemployment 10.17 10.6 economic gro