集合卡曼滤波估算土壤湿度及参数的可行性研究.pdfVIP

中国科技论文在线 集合卡曼滤波估算土壤湿度及参数的可行 性研究# 薛宏宇，张述文，刘彦华** 5 （兰州大学大气科学学院，兰州 730000） 摘要：借助观测系统模拟试验，探讨估算土壤湿度和校正土壤参数的集合卡曼滤波方案的可 行性。结果表明：准确校正参数对估算土壤湿度非常重要，错误参数值会严重影响对状态的 更新，但是状态和参数同时更新的同化方案对参数的初估值较为敏感，只有选取合适的初估 值才能保证参数校正和状态估计成功。 10 关键词：大气科学；土壤湿度；参数校正；卡曼滤波；数据同化 中图分类号：P461.4 A study of estimating soil moisture and parameters with Ensmble Kalman Filter 15 XUE Hongyu, ZHANG Shuwen, LIU Yanhua (College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, LanZhou 730000) Abstract: In order to investigate the feasibility of estimating both soil moisture and soil parameters with the ensemble Kalmant filter(EnKF), an observing system simulation experiment is set up, where the near-surface soil moisture observations are assimilated into the NOAH land 20 surface model. The experimental results show that correcting soil parameters is very important to the estimation of soil moisture profile; uncorrected parameters will seriously influence the updating of model states. However, the data assimilation scheme of simultaneously updating the model states and model parameters is comparatively sensitive to parameters’ initial guess; only appropriately selecting the initial guess can make sure that the parameters and model states are 25 successful estimated at the same time. Keywords: atmospheric sciences; soil moisture; parameter correction; EnKF; data assimilation 0 引言 土壤湿度可以调整地表潜热通量在地表能量平衡中的分配比例，在大气科学、农业和水 30 文等诸学科具有重要运用[1] 。一般土壤湿度的获取方法有直接测量、模式预报、遥感反演，