“韬光养晦”政策的转变.docVIP

“韬光养晦”政策的转变 　　摘 要：1989年邓小平根据当时的国际国内形势，提出了韬光养晦政策，为日后中国的发展奠定了基础。近年来随着中国的发展，韬光养晦政策开始遭到质疑，一些人认为中国应该在国际上有所作为。本文主要分析中国在近年来是否偏离了韬光养晦政策，并分析背后的原因。 　　关键词：核心利益；国际秩序；海洋权力；殖民主义；海外基地。 　　Chinas Deviation from Keeping a Low Profile Dictum 　　Abstract： The dictum of keeping a low profile was put forward as a diplomatic foundation by Deng Xiaoping in 1989. Given the domestic circumstance at that time， keeping a low profile served for domestic economic development as well. However， with China overtaking Japan as the second largest economic entity and making headways in some fields， the maxim set by Deng was under hot debate. Some people propose that the era for keeping a low profile has come to an end， and China should seek achievement in international affairs. Among these advocates are some generals holding hawkish views on international affairs. While others still stick to the line of Deng and believe this policy should not be overthrown in foreseeable future. President of the China Foreign Affairs Institute Wu Jianmin pointed that China still had a long way to go， and thus we must adhere to keeping a low profile in the long-term.[1] In this paper， I will analyze the extent to which keeping a low profile dictum has been changed， and try to explain reasons behind it. 　　Keywords： core national interests；world order；oceanic power；colonist ambitions；bases outside China 　　Ⅰ.Background 　　The English geographer Sir Halford Mackinder pointed that China is both a land power and a sea power owing to a 9，000 mile temperate coastline with many good natural harbors. With such a blessed geographic situation， even if Chinas path toward global power is not necessarily linear， it will stand at the hub of geopolitics.[2] China today is perceived as quasi-superpower， seeking to extend influence and eventually become superpower. On this point， China is consolidating land borders on one hand and beginning to turn outward on the other hand.[3] 　　Ⅱ.The Extent to which Keeping a Low Profile has been