区间概率条件下属性值为不确定语言变量的风险型多属性决策的研究.pdfVIP

区间概率条件下属性值为不确定语言变量的风险型多属性 决策研究 刘培德，张新 （山东经济学院信息管理学院，山东 济南 250014） 摘要：针对属性权重未知、属性值为区间概率条件下不确定语言变量的风险型多属性决策问 题，提出了一种基于概率理论和不确定语言变量的TOPSIS 决策方法。首先，建立了区间概 率转化为点概率的数学模型，通过期望值将风险型决策矩阵转化为确定性决策矩阵；然后， 利用方案与理想解越近方案越优，与负理想解越远方案越优的原则建立属性权重确定模型； 然后，利用TOPSIS 方法的相对优属度的大小确定方案的排序；最后，通过应用案例说明了 本方法的决策步骤以及本方法的有效性。 关键词：区间概率；不语言变量，风险决策；相对优属度；多属性决策 中图分类号：：F274；0223 文献标识码：A The studyon riskmulti-attribute decision-making with uncertain The studyon riskmulti-attribute decision-making with uncertain TThheessttuuddyyoonn rriisskkmmuullttii--aattttrriibbuuttee ddeecciissiioonn--mmaakkiinngg wwiitthh uunncceerrttaaiinn linguisticvariables under thecondition of interval probability linguisticvariables under thecondition of interval probability lliinngguuiissttiiccvvaarriiaabblleessuunnddeerr tthheeccoonnddiittiioonn ooff iinntteerrvvaallpprroobbaabbiilliittyy LIUPei-de,XinZhang LIUPei-de,XinZhang LLIIUUPPeeii--ddee,,XXiinnZZhhaanngg Information Management School of Shandong Economic University, Jinan Shandong 250014, China Abstract: Abstract: AAbbssttrraacctt:: An extended TOPSIS method based on the probability theory and uncertain linguistic variables is presented to solve the risk multiple attribute decision making problems with unknown weight and the attribute values take the form of uncertain linguistic variables under the interval probability.. To begin with, the mathematical model is constructed by which interval probability can be transformed into the point probability, and the risk decision making matrix can be transformed into the certainty decision making matrix by expected value; then according to the rules that the closer the distance between the alternative