我国国有森工企业贫困测度研究.pdfVIP

  ∗ 我国国有森工企业的贫困测度研究 陈文汇 （北京林业大学经济管理学院 北京 100083） 摘要：国有森工企业的贫困问题一直困扰着林业系统的决策层，如何判定森工企业是否贫困，以及衡量各个林场的贫困程度， 进而决定国家相应的财政补偿措施成为当前研究国有林业企业的焦点问题。为了解决这一问题，需要建立一套科学、合理的 贫困指标体系。逐步回归的结果说明国有森工企业的职工人数、资源和福利可以很好的预测该企业的收入水平，由此可以从 不同的角度分析森工企业贫困的原因。聚类分析把木材企业分为7类，每类企业具有自己的特点，决策者可以通过企业的分 类状况因地制宜地解决不同企业的问题，降低国有森工企业扶贫的难度。因子分析压缩了统计指标的数量，再经过旋转因子 和综合得分分析我们得到了森工企业的贫困程度的排序，政府部门可以根据国有森工企业贫困程度的不同有重点地帮助、扶 持相关企业。 关键词：国有森工企业；贫困测度；指标体系；回归；聚类；因子分析 The Poverty Measurement Study about the State-owned Forest Industry Enterprises in China CHEN Wenhui (School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China) Abstract: The poverty problem of state-owned logging enterprises has been disturbing forestry regulators for decades. How to decide whether a logging company is in poverty or not and measure the poverty level of every logging company in order to determine appropriate fiscal compensation implement become the focus of this paper. To solve this problem, a scientific and reasonable poverty index system is in need. The result of stepwise regression shows that logging enterprise work force, resources and welfare are able to predict per capita income in every logging company very well, so that we could analyze the reasons of poor logging companies from various perspectives. Cluster method classifies logging companies into 7 clusters. Every type of logging companies has its own trait and regulators may take actions that suit the traits so that lower the difficulty of poverty alleviation of state-owned logging enterprises. Principle component analysis and f