基于突变级数评价方法的电子商务发展指标体系研究_谌楠.pdfVIP

2014 年2 月 现 代 情 报 Feb., 2014 第34 卷第2期 Journal of Modern Infor ation Vol.34　No.2 ·理论探索· 基于突变级数评价方法的电子商务发展指标体系研究 谌　楠　杨坚争 (上海理工大学管理学院, 上海200093) 〔摘　要〕本文构建了兼具国际可比性与数据可得性的电子商务发展水平综合评价指标体系, 采用突变理论综合评价方法 测算了我国电子商务发展指数及各要素指数。根据本文指标体系建立的回归模型表明, 各级政府时下都着重强调的电子商务交 易额等电子商务使用效果类指标对电子商务发展的促进 用最不明显, 电子商务应用类指标最明显, 说明政府应重点关注电子 商务应用的创新与发展。 〔关键词〕电子商务发展指标体系;突变理论;综合评价方法;回归模型 DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1008-0821.2014.02.00 1 〔中图分类号〕C829.23　 〔文献标识码〕A　 〔文章编号〕1008-0821 (2014)02-0003-05 Research of Catastrophe Progression Method to Construct the Index System of Chinas E-commerce Development Chen Nan　Yang Jianzheng (Depart ent of Manage ent, University of Shanghai for Science Technology, Shanghai 200093, China) 〔Abstract〕The e ergence of e-co erce brings a new strategic opportunity forthe re-e ergence of China in theworld dual- arket co petition, which akes the easure ent of develop ent levels and assess ent of key ele ents of e-co erce provide a significant guidance to Chinas e-co erce.This paper set up a co prehensive evaluation index syste of e-co - erce develop ent levels, which has characteristics of both international co parability and data availability;in addition, it cal- culated thevaluesof each indicator of the syste by utilizing synthetic evaluation ethodbased on catastrophetheory.All levels of govern ent focus on current e-co ercevolu ewhich factor actually do not have an obvious positive effect topro ote Chinas e -co erce de onstrated by regression odel based on the established index syste , on the contrary, e-co erce application do have a significant role in pro oting dev