全球气候变暖成因分析.pdfVIP

14 5 Vo.l 14, No. 5 2005 10 JOURNAL OF NATURAL D ISASTERS O ct. , 2005 : 1004-4574( 2005) 05- 0038- 05 李国琛 (, 510070) : 3, 4, ( ), 1 , , CO / 0, 2 , , CO O , 2 2 / 0, (), ( ) , , CO / 0 2 : ; ; / 0 : P42 : A Cau se analy sis global clim ate warm ing LIGuo-chen ( Guangdong ProvincialA cadem y of Sciences, Guangzhou 510070, China) Abs tract: The solar radiation, atmospheric circulation and earth surface cond ition are the three fundamental ele- ments thatw ou ld cause clmi atew arm ing. There is forth elemen,t including hum an activity, solar activity and volca- no activity. Elements that cause globalw arm ing including natural and human activity, but themain one is the la-t ter. Since the IndustrialR evolution at the end of 1 th century, the industrialization and urbanization in the w orld have developed qu ickly, wh ich caused continuous increase of / greenhouse gas0, such as CO , and much of the 2 forest is cut or destroyed, the forest land coverage is decreased continuously, the forest function for balancing the CO and O isw eakened. This lead to more stronger / greenhouse effect0, and the continuous h igher temperature. 2 2 A s to the solar activity, the effect on global clm