东江流域气象要素季节性变化与径流响应关系分析.pdfVIP

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2012, 1, 227-233 doi:10.4236/jwrr.2012.14032 Published Online August 2012 (/journal/jwrr.html) Analysis of Response Relation Between Seasonal Change in Meteorological Elements and Runoff in the Dongjiang * River Basin Yanhu He1,#, Xiaohong Chen1,#, Kairong Lin1,2, Yan Wang1,2 1Center for Water Resources and Environment, SunYat-sen University, Guangzhou 2Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Water Security in Southern China of Guangdong Higher Education Institutes, Guangzhou Email: #heyanhu456@163.com, #eescxh@ Received: Jun. 18th, 2012; revised: Jun. 27th, 2012; accepted: Jul. 6th, 2012 Abstract: Based on the monthly runoff and meteorological data during 1959-2009 of the Dongjiang River basin, the space-time change of meteorological elements and variation tendency of the runoff were analyzed by using the Mann-Kendall trend test, correlation analysis and relevancy analysis methods. The correlation and relevancy between them were also found out. The results showed that: 1) The precipitation and tempera- ture decrease in summer and fall, while evaporation showed a significant reduction in each season; 2) The seasonal spatial distribution of precipitation and temperature is obvious, while that of evaporation distribution is relatively consistent; 3) The correlation coefficients of evaporation and precipitation between seasonal run- off are larger than that of temperature, and the relevance of evaporation with runoff in the four seasons are the smallest. The result can elaborate the response relationship between seasonal change of meteorological ele- ments and runoff, which provides a basis for water resources planning and