当今世界的十大定律.docVIP

当今世界的十大定律 长尾理论和帕累托定律让我联想到前段时间我在《福布斯》杂志上看到的一篇文章，讲述的是当今世界的十大定律。凑巧的是，我在新华网上看到了这篇文章的中译文。译文翻译的不是特别好，但要让我自己来翻，估计也就这个水平了。贴在这里，以备今后查考。 ?Digital Rules Ten Laws of the Modern World Rich Karlgaard, 05.09.05, 12:00 AM ET ? Moores Law. Listen to a billionaire explain why an understanding of Moores Law is a key to unlocking business riches. Don Valentine founded Sequoia Capital in 1972 and presided over early investments in Apple, Electronic Arts, Cisco, Yahoo and Google. He once told me the secret to his success: Thats easy. I just follow Moores Law and make a few guesses about its consequences. This April marked the 40th anniversary of Gordon Moores famous dictum. In 1965 Moore (he cofounded Intel three years later) noted that components on silicon chips were doubling every year. In 1975 he amended that to every two years. Today Moores Law has transcended silicon chips. It has become a way of saying that all digital stuff, from PCs to cell phones to music players, get twice as good every 18 to 24 months--at the same price point. Projecting from Moores Law, venture capitalist Valentine saw a future of personal computers, games, routers and search engines. Now, go project! 1、摩尔定律：让我们一同来倾听一位亿万富翁对于摩尔定律的感悟。风险投资公司Sequoia Capital的缔造者唐·瓦伦丁将摩尔定律视为商务运作的关键所在。他的公司曾向苹果、EA、思科、雅虎以及Google等多家高科技公司进行投资。在谈到自己的成功秘诀的时候，他坦率地表示：“十分简单，我只是遵从摩尔定律，并且对随之而来的结果进行一些猜测而已。” 今年的4月份正好是摩尔定律的40周年纪念。1965年，戈登·摩尔（3年之后他亲自参与了英特尔公司的建立）首次提出：硅芯片上的晶体管数量将会以每年一倍的速度翻番。到了1975年，摩尔先生将一年的周期改为了两年，而摩尔定律从那以后一直延续到今天，成为芯片业发展的圣经。然而随着时间推移，摩尔定律适用的范围已经超越了单纯的芯片，从个人电脑到手机产品，再到音乐播放器，几乎任何与高科技沾边的产品都适用于摩尔定律，在保持售价不变的前提下，产品性能翻番的周期也逐渐演变成为了18到24个月。正是通过对于摩尔定律的信任，唐·瓦伦丁在个人电脑、游戏、以及搜索引擎等不同领域都取得了成功。 ? The Back Side of Moores Law. This one says that digital stuff gets 30% to 40% cheaper every year--at the same performance point. The back side of Moores Law is why your $299 Treo 650 is as powerful as a $3,500 Compaq PC was in 1988. Its why hundreds of millions of Chinese and Indians now own their personal portals to the global economy. 2、摩尔定律边际定