《Assessment of Future Drought in Southwest China Based on CMIP5 Multimodel Projections》.pdfVIP

IN ADVANCESATMOSPHERICSCIENCES，VOL．3l，SE”EMBER2014，1035—1050 AssessmentofFuture inSouthwestChinaBasedon Drought CMIP5Multimodel Projections WANG ZHOUWen3 Linl，一，CHENWen“，and MonsoonResearch，Institute 100190 CenterforSystem ofAtmosphericPhysics，ChineseAcademyofSciences，Beijing 2UniversityofChineseAcademy 100049 ofSciences，Beijing 3 Climate and Centre,School Environment， GuyCarpenterAsia．Pac垆c Impact ofEnergy CityUniversity ofHongKong,HongKong 18November 8 20 (Received 2013；revised 2014) February2014；acceptedFebruary ABSTRACT Inthelast seriesofsevereandextensive have acrossSouthwest intremendous decade，a droughtsswept China，resulting to ismotivatedthe ofas— economiclosses．deaths．and dismptionsociety．Consequently,thisstudy by paramountimportance future in inSouthwest is todecreaseovermost ofSouthwestChina sessing changesdrought China．Precipitationlikely parts the ofthe increasein around increases；the beginningcentury,followedbywidespreadprecipitat