基于碳平衡视角的南通市生态用地供需动态演变.pdfVIP

基于碳平衡视角的南通市生态用地 供需动态演变 1 2 1 曲 艺 舒帮荣 欧名豪  （1. 南京农业大学公共管理学院，江苏 南京 210095；2. 江苏师范大学测绘学院，江苏 徐州 221116） 摘 要：研究目的：分析区域社会经济发展过程中的生态用地供需动态变化及区域生态安全现状，为土地利用规划编 制提供参考。研究方法：碳平衡法、模型法、案例分析法。研究结果：通过区域人类活动释碳量及生态用地固碳量的 估算，构建生态用地供需平衡指数模型，对南通市 2001—2007 年生态用地供需动态演变进行分析。结果显示，研究 时段内南通市人类活动释碳量不断上升，生态用地固碳能力却持续下降。如按固定2/3和1/3的释碳总量计算，研究 时段内生态用地供需平衡指数均大于 1，但呈逐年降低趋势，区域生态安全的保持状况不容乐观，需从生态用地规划 与保护、低碳经济发展转型等方面采取应对措施。研究结论：碳平衡法可用于区域生态用地供需状况的研究分析，研 究结果可为区域土地利用的规划及管理工作提供决策参考。 关键词：生态用地；碳平衡；土地利用；南通市 Dynamic Evolution of Ecological Land Supply and Demand in Nantong Based on Carbon Balance 1 2 1 QU Yi , SHU Bang-rong , OU Ming-hao (1.College of Public Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China; 2. School of Geodesy and Geomatics, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China ) Abstract: Balance of supply and demand of ecological land helps to regulate the function of ecosystem and ensure regional ecological security. Considering requirements of low carbon economy, this paper estimated the carbon release from human activities and the carbon sequestration of ecological land, and a balance index model of ecological land supply and demand was built. Taking Nantong as an example, the dynamic evolution of ecological land supply and demand from 2001 to 2007 was analyzed. Result shows that carbon release from human activities rise continually, while the carbon sequestration capacity of ecological land decline during the study period. It also shows that if all the carbon release from human