北京卫星城人口变动及其对新城发展的启示.pdfVIP

2008 年第 3 期 人 口 与 经 济 No . 3 , 2008 ( 总第 168 期) POPULATION ECONOMICS ( Tot . No . 168) 北京卫星城人口变动及其对新城发展的启示 檀学文 ( 中国社会科学院 农村发展研究所 , 北京 　100732) 摘 　要 : 计算了 1990 年代北京市 12 个卫星城的人口变动情况 , 并与北京中心城 、全国市辖区以及巴 ( 黎新城人口变动进行了比较 。结果显示 : 北京卫星城较多地吸引了外地人口, 但对本地人口 尤其是 ) 中心城人口 吸引力不足 , 导致卫星城规划 目标的偏离 。根据聚集经济原理对上述结果进行了解释 , 并据以指出: 北京中心城人口规模控制必将突破 , 新城规划 目标无法实现 , 新城近期宜侧重于带动本 地城市化 。 关键词 : 卫星城 ; 新城 ; 人口变动 ; 聚集经济 中图分类号 : F291 　　文献标识码 : A 　　文章编号 : 1000 - 4149 (2008) 03 - 0008 - 06 Population Change of Satellite Towns of Beijing and Its Indications on the Development of Ne w Towns TAN Xuewen (Rural Development Institute , Chinese Academy of Social Sciences , Beij ing 100732 , China) Abstract : In this paper , the population change in 1990s in Beij ings 12 satellite towns are calculated , and a comparing is made between the population changes of the central town of Beij ing , municipal districts across China and the new town of Paris. The results indicate that the satellite towns of Beij ing have attracted a great number of foreigners but lack appeal to natives , which result in the deviation of program obj ectives in these towns. An explain of the result based on the principles of the Cluster Economy Theory is made , in which it is indicated that population control in the central city of Beij ing is sure to be broken , the program