MISO 2011 Long-Term Resource Assessment英文资料.pdfVIP

2011 LONG TERM RESOURCE ASSESSMENT MISO MARKET FOOTPRINT REGULATORY AND ECONOMIC STUDIES (RES) DEPARTMENT 1 2011 Long-term Resource Assessment Executive Summary Contents 1 Executive Summary 4 2 Demand 12 2.1 Unrestricted Non-Coincident Peak 12 2.2 Demand Resources 13 2.2.1 Direct Controlled Load Management 13 2.2.2 Interruptible Load 14 2.3 Net Internal Demand 14 2.4 Load Forecast Uncertainty Calculations 15 3 Capacity 17 3.1 MISO Baseline Generation 17 3.1.1 Nameplate Capacity 17 3.1.2 Internal Designated Capacity Resources 18 3.1.3 Behind-the-meter Generation (BTMG) 19 3.1.4 External Resources 19 3.2 Generator Interconnection Queue20 3.2.1 Future Planned Resources 21 3.2.2 Future Other Resources22 3.2.3 Conceptual Resources 23 3.3 Projected Capacity 25 4 Risk Assessment26 4.1 Base and High/Low Demand Cases 26 4.2 Future Uncertainties – Sensitivity Analysis 29 4.2.1 Sensitivity Descriptions 31 5 Conclusion33 2 2011 Long-term Resource Assessment Executive Summary Tables Figures Table 1-1: 2012-2016 Forecasted Demand, Capacity, and Reserves 6 Table 1-2: 2017-2021 Forecasted Demand, Capacity, and Reserves 7 Table 1-3: Potential EPA Impacts on Resource Adequacy 8 Figure 1-1: Year 2016 LOLE sensitivity to variable adjustment 10 Figure 1-2: Year 2021 LOLE sensitivity to variable adjustment 11 Table 2-