Interannual and Interdecadal Variations in Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Arabian Sea and the Impacts over Pakistan外文翻译.pdfVIP

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Interannual and Interdecadal Variations in Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Arabian Sea and the Impacts over Pakistan外文翻译.pdf

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Interannual and Interdecadal Variations in Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Arabian Sea and the Impacts over Pakistan Wash Dev Khatri, Zhi Xiefei, and Zhang Ling 1 Introduction This study is to investigate the tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the Arabian Sea (AS). The idea of the topic rose from the work done by Chan (2005) on interannual and interdecadal variations of TC activity over the western North Paciic (WNP). In his study, Chan (2005) reviewed the Interannual and Interdecadal variations in tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the WNP and emphasized that the Interannual variations could largely be explained by changes in the planetary-scale flow patterns. Sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in the WNP, however, did not contribute to such variations. Rather, SSTs in the central and eastern equatorial Paciic were signiicantly correlated with TC activity over the WNP. Changes in the SST in the equatorial Paciic were found to be in relation with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, and modiications of the planetary-scale low associated with ENSO altered the conditions over the WNP and hence TC activity there. The nature of TC activity over AS is different from TC activity over WNP, as the former has the lowest and latter has the highest yearly TC occurrence frequency. The work on the AS started in 1970s. Shukla and Misra ( 1977) computed the correlation coeficients among time series of SST, wind speed and rainfall. They used the data prior to 1960 and after that the TC activity over AS has more decreasing trend in contrast to previous years. Evans ( 1993) gave total credit to the underlying W.D. Khatri Pakistan Meteorological Department, Headquarter Ofice, Sector H-8/2, Islamabad, Pakistan SAARC Meteorological Research Center (SMRC), Dhaka 1207, Bangladesh Z. Xiefei (*) • Z. Ling Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 5 Panxin Rd, Pukou, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Ch