《全球暖化与电力系统的相互影响综述》.pdfVIP

第 34 卷 第 2 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 34 No. 2 2010 年 2 月 Power System Technology Feb. 2010 文章编号：1000-3673 （2010 ）02-0033-08 中图分类号：TM 72 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·40 全球暖化与电力系统的相互影响综述 苏盛，陈金富，段献忠 （华中科技大学电气与电子工程学院，湖北省 武汉市 430074 ） Interaction Between Global Warming and Electric Power Systems SU Sheng, CHEN Jin-fu, DUAN Xian-zhong (College of Electrical Electronics Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, Hubei Province, China) ABSTRACT: Through the analysis on the tendency of climate 0 引言 pattern varying with global warming, the affects of global 全球暖化对人类社会乃至其赖以生存的地球 warming on power generation, transmission, distribution and power utilization are expounded; the danger of power systems’ 系统都有重大影响，是当前世界各国关注的焦点。 secure and stable operation due to the increase of both 为准确评估气候变化对人类社会的影响，政府气候 occurrence frequency and intensity of extreme climate caused 变化专门委员会先后发布了 4 次气候评估报告、 by global warming is analyzed. Technical measures to cope 2007 年发布的第 4 次评估报告中明确指出“20 世 with global warming actively or passively are summarized, and 纪全球平均表面温度已升高 0.6±0.2℃。近 50 a 来 a survey on technological measures to postpone global warming by means of energy conservation and reduction of 所观测到的增暖有 90% 的可能是由人类活动导致 energy consumption, increasing utilization efficiency of energy 的温室气体浓度增加引起”。据观测，在工业革命 source as well as adopting new technique to reduce the 前的 8 000 a 间，大气中 CO2 含量由于自然界自身 emission of greenhouse gases is given. The approaches, which 的作用仅提高了 20 ppm ，而自工业革命开始迄今 can e