山东半岛城市群旅游竞争力的研究.pdf

(4)从该区旅游竞争力的变化趋势看：单体城市旅游竞争力在未来15年内 均呈现稳中有升的交化趋势，而且城市之间的相对差距比较明显，到仿真期末， 8城市旅游竞争力排名依次为：青岛、济南、烟台、日照、威海、东营、淄博、 潍坊。从城市群整体来看，旅游竞争力呈现较为平缓的直线型或近似指数型增长 趋势，与单体城市相比，其旅游竞争力的提升幅度较大，这表明城市群旅游一体 化及其区域整合是提升山东半岛城市群旅游竞争力的重要措施。 关键词；山东半岛城市群；旅游竞争力；指标体系；系统动力掌 Touri sm i ti venessResearchon Peni rlSLiI a Compet Shandong Urban AggIomeration Abstract Withthe ofindustrializationandurbanization pace up,urban spading hasbecomeall formof inthe agglomeration important organizationregional eCOnomicandsocial ofOur with developmentcountry．AndTourism，auindustryhigh and takenurban asan dependenceregionalopeningproperty,has agglomeration carrier． importantspatial Inviewofthe toestablishanindex insufficiency,thepaperattempts present and simulationtorichtheresearchmethodsand systemdynamic model analysis oftourism researchfromthe ofthewhole thinking competitiveness point urban anditsinternalmonomer the takesthe agglomeration city．Thenpaper Shandong urban researchand the of peninsulaagglomeration鹋thetarget analyzes tendency tourism ofthis competitivenessregion． The of researchmethodsthis focuson Process,