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《Projected Changes of Palmer Drought Severity Index under an RCP8.5 Scenario》.pdf
ATMOSPHER/CANDOCEANICSCIENCE
LETTERS,2013,VOL.6,NO.5,273—278
ected ofPalmer au
IndexunderRCP8.5
Proj Changes DroughtSeverity
Scenario
1,3
ZHOUTian.Junl,2andHONGTap
7
State Sciencesand FluM
KeyLaboratoryofNumericalModelingfor Dynamics
Atmospheric Geophysical
Physics,Chinese 100029,China
AcademyofSciences.Beijing
2
Research
Climaw Center,Chinese
Change Academy 100029,China
ofSciences,Beoing
100049.China
’UniversityofChineseAcademyofSciences,Beijing
Received25March 22 22 16 2013
2013;revised
April2013;acceptedApril2013;publishedSeptember
AbstractThe of measuredwhichwas
potentialchangedrought by originallydevelopedby
thePalmer theintenttomeasurethecumulativeinsurface
DroughtSeverityIndex(PDSI)isprojectedby departure
undera
a climate model water oneofthemost indicesof
usingcoupled system Represen— balance,is prominent
tative scenario.ThePDSI PDSIindexhas
1b).The
Pathway8.5(RCP8.51 changesmeteorologicaldrought(Dai,201
calculatedtwo been usedinChinesestudies.For
by potentialevapotranspirationalgorithmswidely aridity example,
are ofThornthwaitethePDSlwascalculatedstationdataof
compared.Thealgorithm
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