港口铁路高速公路行业投资分析教材.ppt

资料来源: 深圳市十一五规划, CEIC, 中金公司研究部 按照深圳市十一五规划，十一五期间GDP将保持13.0%的复合增长率。我们预计十一五期间深圳地区进出口总值年复合增长约19.5%。 统计分析显示深圳地区进出口总额与2～5类车车流量相关系数高达0.92，GDP总量与2～5类车车流量相关系数达0.73。 深圳地区经济未来几年的持续快速增长将为深高速深圳路产2~5类车车流量提供有力保障。 This report is based on information available to the public. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. This document is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned. China International Capital Corporation Limited and others associated with it (CICC) may have positions in, and may effect transactions in securities of companies mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking services for those companies. This report may also be made available in Hong Kong by China International Capital Corporation (Hong Kong) Limited and/or China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities Limited. Copyright of this document belongs to CICC. Any form of unauthorized distribution, reproduction, publication, release or quotation by any institution or individual is prohibited without CICC’s written permission. 深高速：经济的持续增长保障2~5类车流量 资料来源: 公司数据, CEIC, 中金公司研究部 深圳地区汽车保有量于2001年～2006年期间保持21.5%的年复合增长率。 深圳地区汽车保有量于未来2年仍将保持20%左右的年复合增长。 深圳汽车保有量与深高速1类车车流量之间的相关系数高达0.99，保有量的上升将极大促进深高速1类车车流量的增加。 This report is based on information available to the public. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. This document is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned. China International Capital Corporation Limited and others associated with it (CICC) may have positions in, and may effect transactions in securities of companies mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking services for those companies. This report may also be made available in Hong Kong by China International Capital Corporation (Hong Kong) Limited and/or China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities Limited. Copyright of thi