电力变压器经济寿命模型及应用实例.pdfVIP

第 36 卷 第 10 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 36 No. 10 2012 年 10 月 Power System Technology Oct. 2012 文章编号：1000-3673 （2012 ）10-0235-06 中图分类号：TM 41 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4027 电力变压器经济寿命模型及应用实例 1 2 1 2 2 刘有为 ，马麟 ，吴立远 ，周岩 ，连超 （1．中国电力科学研究院，北京市 海淀区 100192 ； 2 ．北京航空航天大学 可靠性与系统工程学院，北京市 海淀区 100191 ） Economic Life Model of Power Transformer and Its Application 1 2 1 2 2 LIU Youwei , MA Lin , WU Liyuan , ZHOU Yan , LIAN Chao (1. China Electric Power Research Institute, Haidian District, Beijing 100192, China; 2. School of Reliability and System Engineering, Beihang University, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China) ABSTRACT: A method to predict economic life of power 0 引言 equipments is put forward. Taking the maximization of annual 目前，我国电力设备缺少一种科学的检修与退 average net income as the optimization objective, the decision of which one is more appropriate between overhauling and 役策略，通常将在役年数长短作为主要依据。由 replacement is made based on comparing annual average net 于缺少对电力设备实际状态的评估，常常会导致 profit under the two conditions. Taking the power transformer 本可以继续服役而被提前退役，造成巨大浪费[1-4] 。 as example, the economic factors and rules within its life circle, 电力设备是电网企业的核心资产，如何经济合理 including profit, actual cost, risk cost and so on, are analyzed, 地制定检修与更新计划，合理延长包括电力变压 and mathematical models for overhauling and replacement are established respectively. Finally, taking an actual 220 kV power 器在内的电力设备寿命、有效提升核心资产的利 transformer as the case, the empirical research