复杂网络模型在传染病预防控制中的应用.pdf

·402· ·基石出理论与方法· 复杂网络模型在传染病预防控制中的应用 黄淑琼魏晟岳丽 向浩刘丽 刘莉甘秀敏许川 聂绍发 【导读】为探讨复杂网络模型在传染病预防控制中的应用，根据复杂网络的基本属性，利用网络 模型和常用软件分析传染病传播过程。相对于传统的流行病学方法，复杂网络的理论不仅能描述传 染病动态传播过程，也能进行传染病预测。通过复杂网络的理论来研究疾病的传播，能深入理解到网 络的拓扑结构对疾病传播有蕈要影响，从而找到控制疾病传播的更有效的方法。 【关键词】流行病学；复杂网络；传播动力学；传染病控制 of networksmodelin and disease communicable Applicationcomplex preventingcontrolling HUANG n，X|ANGHao，12ULi．12ULi，eANX沁一rain。XUChll,an。NIE Shu—qiong，WElSheng，YUE and Public Medical of Biostat缸tics，Schoolof College， Shao-fa．DepartmentEpidemiology Health，Ton面i and 430030，China HuazhongUniversityofScienceTechnology，Wuhan Correspondingauthor：Ⅳ陋Shao-fa，Email：sfnie@mails．tjmu．edu．cn discussthe of networksmodelsin and 【Introduction】To applicationcomplex preventing communicable andcontrolthe ofinfectiousdiseases the controlling disease，analyze spread byusing modelsand softwareof withconventional the networksbasedonitsbasic complex properties．Compared networks anew Candescribethe epidemiologicalapproach，thecomplex theory，astheory，notonly ofinfcctionsdiseases butalsoforecastthesituationofinfectiousdisease．The dynamicprocess spreading influenceofthenetwork’S ontheinfectionsdiseasestransmissioncanbe understood topology deeply theresearchondisease its tocontrolthe of through spreadingby theory，SO spreaddiseases．Complex networks canbeusedin researchfor much compared theoryapproach epidemiologicalhavingadva