基于人工神经网络的电力市场输电阻塞预测模型.pdfVIP

第 35 卷 第 3 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 35 No. 3 2011 年 3 月 Power System Technology Mar. 2011 1000-3673 2011 03-0195-05 F 123.9 A 790·625 文章编号： （ ） 中图分类号： 文献标志码： 学科代码： 基于人工神经网络的电力市场输电阻塞预测模型 施羽展，谢开贵，胡博 （输配电装备及系统安全与新技术国家重点实验室(重庆大学) ，重庆市 沙坪坝区 400044 ） Artificial Neural Network-Based Transmission Congestion Forecasting Model in Electricity Market Environment SHI Yuzhan, XIE Kaigui, HU Bo (State Key Laboratory of Power Transmission Equipment System Security and New Technology (Chongqing University), Shapingba District, Chongqing 400044, China) ABSTRACT: Main attentions of traditional researches on 0 引言 transmission congestion are paid to the processing procedure 输电网是电能交易环节的重要组成部分。当支 for congestion, i.e., the congestion management, so it can be classified into the field of passively eliminating the congestion. 路传输容量不能满足交易需求，或者当系统中发电 Based on the thinking of actively preventing transmission 机组、线路或变压器等元件故障时，将可能导致部 congestion and starting with the analysis on related factors that 分输电元件过载，即产生输电阻塞[1] 。输电阻塞产 impact transmission congestion such as transmitted power in 生后，将带来以下 2 方面的影响[2] ：1）使系统的安 transmission lines that impacts transmission congestion, total 全性和稳定性受到威胁；2 ）使电能交易计划无法 load of power grid, actual output of power grid, etc., a 实现，影响资源的优化配置和利用，还可能导致市 comparison-discrimination matrix is built by analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to determi