基于成本效益分析的风电-抽水蓄能联合运行优化调度模型.pdfVIP

第39 卷 第12 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 39 No. 12 2015 年12 月 Power System Technology Dec. 2015 文章编号：1000-3673 （2015 ）12-3386-07 中图分类号：TM 73 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470 ·40 基于成本效益分析的风电–抽水蓄能 联合运行优化调度模型 张刘冬，殷明慧，卜京，宋坤隆，邹云 （南京理工大学 自动化学院，江苏省 南京市 210094 ） A Joint Optimal Operation Model of Wind Farms and Pumped Storage Units Based on Cost-Benefit Analysis ZHANG Liudong, YIN Minghui, BU Jing, SONG Kunlong, ZOU Yun (School of Automation, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, Jiangsu Province, China) ABSTRACT: Because various uncertainties in power systems 摘要：由于难以全面和准确地考虑系统的多种不确定因素， including forecast errors of load, wind power and forced 如风电、负荷的预测误差和常规机组的强迫停运，现有基于 outages of generators are difficult to be comprehensively and 确定性旋转备用的风电–抽水蓄能联合运行优化调度模型无 accurately taken into account, existing models based on 法从兼顾系统运行的经济性和可靠性方面最优确定风蓄联 deterministic spinning reserve (SR) requirements cannot 合运行方式。为此，提出了基于成本效益分析的考虑风蓄联 optimize scheduling of wind farms and pumped storage (PS) 合运行的机组组合新模型。该模型首先在计算系统的失负荷 units in terms of economy and reliability of system operation, 风险时对现有多场景概率风险分析方法进行改进，使其能够 Therefore, a novel joint unit commitment model of wind-PS 同时考虑服从不同概率分布的风电功率和负荷预测误差以 units based on cost-benefit analysis is proposed. In this model, 及机组强迫停运，并通过成本效益分析实现常规机组发电成 improved multi-scenario probability method capable of 本、期望停电成本与抽水蓄能机组的运行成本三者之和最小 considering different probabilistic characteristics of load, wind 的目标，再采用混合整数线性规划方法求解模型，确定风蓄 power and generators is used to determine loss-of-load risk of 联合运行方式和系统的旋转备用容量。仿真分析表明，通过 power systems. Cost-be