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This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the
National Bureau of Economic Research
Volume Title: Labor Markets and Firm Benefit Policies in
Japan and the United States
Volume Author/Editor: Seiritsu Ogura, Toshiaki Tachibanaki
and David A. Wise, editors
Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Volume ISBN: 0-226-62094-8
Volume URL: /books/ogura03-1
Conference Date: January 20-23, 2000
Publication Date: January 2003
Title: Changing the Guard: The Rise of the United States
to Peak Capitalist Economy
Author: Richard B. Freeman
URL: /chapters/c10301
1
Changing the Guard
The Rise of the United States to
Peak Capitalist Economy
Richard B. Freeman
1.1 Introduction
At the turn of the twenty-first century, many analysts view the United
States as the peak capitalist economy—the economy whose institutions
other countries should emulate. With an unemployment rate below 4 per-
cent in 1999-2000—lower than in Japan or Germany or other European
Union countries—a huge federal budget surplus, declines in crime, a
booming stock market, rapid productivity growth, and the integration of
welfare mothers into work, the United States seemingly found the magic
formula for economic success in the new millennium.
A decade or so earlier, analysts saw the United States in a very different
light. In the 1970s and 1980s most viewed Japan as the peak capitalist econ-
omy, whose institutions other countries should emulate. American business
leaders feared Japanese competitors to the extent that they made the four-
teenth-century samurai warrior Miyamoto Musashi’s A Book of Five Rings
(1982) a best-seller on the business charts. Financial experts saw Japanese
banks as the 800-pound gorillas on financial markets and wondered if lead
bank-financing and monitoring firms worked better than stock market
monitoring of performa
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