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NBP Working Paper No. 193
To believe or not to believe: monetary policy
and the trend in house prices
Grzegorz Wesołowski
NBP Working Paper No. 193
To believe or not to believe: monetary policy
and the trend in house prices
Grzegorz Wesołowski
Economic Institute
Warsaw, 2014
Grzegorz Wesołowski – Narodowy Bank Polski and Warsaw School of Economics;
grzegorz.wesolowski@nbp.pl
The views expressed herein are those of the author and not necessarily those of Narodowy Bank
Polski or the Warsaw School of Economics. This paper beneted from seminar at Narodowy
Bank Polski and a Young Economist Seminar at 20th Dubrovnik Economic Conference.
The author would like to thank Joshua Aizenman, Michał Brzoza-Brzezina, Marcin Kolasa,
Krzysztof Makarski, Enrique G. Mendoza, and Joanna Niedźwiedzińska for their helpful
comments and discussions. All errors remain my own.
Published by:
Narodowy Bank Polski
Education Publishing Department
ul. Świętokrzyska 11/21
00-919 Warszawa, Poland
phone +48 22 185 23 35
www.nbp.pl
ISSN 2084-624X
© Copyright Narodowy Bank Polski, 2014
Contents Contents
1 Introduction 53
2 The Model 87
2.1 Patient Households . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
2.2 Impatient Households . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
2.3 Entrepreneurs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109
11
2.4 Retailers and aggregator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
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