Two Opportunities to Deliver on the Doha Development Pledge.pdfVIP

INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE sustainable solutions for ending hunger and poverty Second in a series of assessments of a Doha Round outcome Research Brief No. 6 July 2006 Two Opportunities to Deliver on the Doha Development Pledge s of June 2006, a final agreement has eluded the parties to the Doha Development Antoine Bouët ARound trade negotiations. There was little finality to the December 2005 Hong Kong Simon Mevel Ministerial conference negotiations, even though members agreed to eliminate agricultural export subsidies by 2013 and grant least developed countries (LDCs) free access to David Orden Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) markets for at least 97 percent of agricultural and manufacturing tariff lines by 2008. Though observers hoped an agreement on negotiation modalities would be reached by the end of April 2006, a new tentative target date has been set for the end of July. In this brief, we evaluate the effects of a possible Doha proposed by the United States. This raises world income an addi- agreement based on proposals currently on the table from the tional $7.3 billion compared to the basic scenario. The additional United States, the European Union, and the Group of Twenty gains are distributed widely among countries, and are beneficial (G20). We first begin with a basic scenario that represents a