概率论2013-2014答案课程.docVIP

广东财经大学试题参考答案及评分标准 2013-2014年第二学期 课程名称 概率论与数理统计(A 共3页 ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 一 填空题(每题3分,共30分)1,; 2,0.7; 3,; 4,0; 5,0; 6, 3; 7 -1; 8,5; 9,0.5 10,0.8 二 (每题3分,共15分)1,D; 2,C; 3,A; 4,D; 5,A? 三(每题10分,共40分)1 . 解 (1) 分别表示甲乙丙车间的产品,B表示次品则, ……………………2.分(1)P(B)=0.45*0.04+0.35*0.02+0.2*0.05=0.035…………7.分(2) =…………10分 2. 解(1)………………………………..3分 ……………………………5分 (2), …………………………………………………………..8分 VarX= VarY=……………….. ………………..…………………………………….10分 3 . 解:似然函数只有一个驻点,必为L(p)的最大值点?P的极大似然估计是…………………………10分 4.解: 2, ,设,…………………………2分则 ,…………………………………………………………………………………5分故拒绝域为:即 . ………………………………………………….. 8分由于不在拒绝域内,故接受,即可以认为这次考试全体考生的平均成绩为70分. ………………………… ……………………………………………………………………10分(第1小题10分,第2小题5分,共15分) 1,10分)X部,电厂供电为y个单位,则 …………………………………………………………… 2分 根据题意有 根据中心极限定理, ………………………………………………5分 ,则………………………… ……………7分 查表得, 因此, ,所以至少供电2261个单位,才能以95%的概率保证不致因供电不足而影响生产 ……………………………………………………………………………… ……..10分 2.证明题(5分) 证明 引入随机变量 ?……….. ………..……….………..………..……………………..3分 于是,都服从两点分布, 因每个球落入每个盒子是等可能的均为 所以,对第 i 个盒子,一个球都不落入这个盒子内的概率为(1-)4? ……….. ………..……….………..………..………………...5分 Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank Johns Hopkins University for the TC-1 cells. This work was supported by a National Health Research Institutes intramural grant (IV-103-PP-22) and grants from the National Science Council, which were awarded to Y.C. Song (NSC 99-2321-B-400-004-MY3) and S.J. Liu (NSC 103-2321-B-400-008). Author Contributions Y.C.S. and S.J.L. designed the studies. Y.C.S. performed the research and analyzed the data. Y.C.S. and S.J.L. wrote the manuscript. Additional Information C57BL/6 mice were immunized subcutaneously (s.c.) once with 1 μ g of peptide mixed with or without 10 μ g of CpG adjuvant. After one week, splenocytes were harvested, and the response of IFN-γ -secreting cells was determined by ELISPOT after 48 h of peptide stimulation. Briefly, 2 × 105 splenocytes were incubated with 1 μ g/ml irrelevant peptide or RA