中国大都市群地区的水灾风险与应急管理研究.pdfVIP

14 6 V o.l 14, No. 6 2005 12 JOURNA L OF NATURAL D ISA STER S Dec. , 2005 : 1004-4574 ( 2005 06- 0059- 06 1 2 2, 3 王 珏 , 聂文东, 王静爱 ( 1. , 100875; 2. , 100875; 3. , , 100875 : , , , : ( ; , : ; ; : P426 : A F lood risk assessm ent and em ergency m anagem en t in m etropolises of Ch ina 1 2 2, 3 WANG Jue , N IE W en-dong , WANG J ing-a i ( 1. In stitu te of E conom ics and R esou rces M anagem ent, B eijing N orm al U n ivers ity, Be ijing 100875, Ch ina; 2. K ey Laboratory of Environm en tal Change and N atural D isas ter, M in istry of Educat ion, B eijing N orm al U n iversity, Beijing 100875, Ch ina; 3. School of G eography and R em ote Sens ing Science, Be ijing N orm al U n iversity, B eijing 100875, Ch ina Abs tract: Based on disaster system theory, a smi p lified m ethod to d isaster risk assessm ent w as developed by com b-i n ing hazard risk assessm ent and potentia l vulnerability assessm en .t F lood risks of m etropo lises in China w ere as- sessed and studied on tw o d ifferent sca les. T he resu lt indicates that, the spatia l pattern of flood risk shapes a circ le- liked structure and the risk index drops gradua lly from the center of m etropo litan reg ions to the ou ter edge zone. F lood risks of M etropolises in the south