中美农产品产业内贸易水平及影响因素实证研究详解.docVIP

摘 要 农产品贸易是中美两国贸易的重要组成部分。本文结合中国和美国两国农产品贸易现状，利用2005年-2013年中美农产品贸易的G-L指数和Bruelhart边际产业内贸易指数Bruelhart边际产业内贸易指数都比较低，说明中美农产品贸易产业内贸易水平比较低，贸易上具有较强的互补性。利用Thom McDowell指数发现，农产品产业内贸易以垂直型产业内贸易为主。回归模型表明，平均市场规模、人均GDP差异和贸易不平衡对中美农产品产业内贸易均有显著影响，其中平均市场规模与中美农产品产业内贸易具有正相关关系，而人均GDP差异和农产品不平衡对中美农产品产业内贸易产生负面影响。The agricultural products trade is an important part of the trade between?China?and?United States. This paper combines with the status of Sino-US bilateral agricultural products trade, using the G-L index and Bruelhart?marginal intra industry trade index of Sino-US?bilateral agricultural products trade from 2005 to 2013 to analysis Sino-US?intra industry trade level in agricultural products. The results?showed that the inter industry trade?and intra industry trade? both exist in the agricultural products?trade between China and the United States from 2005 to 2013, but on the whole, G-L index and Bruelhart?marginal intra industry trade index of Sino- US?agricultural intra industry trade?are relatively low. It shows that the level of Sino-US ?agricultural products intra industry trade?is not high, China and United States have a strong complementarity in the?agricultural products trade. Thom? McDowell?index showed that?intra industry trade in agricultural products based on the vertical intra industry trade. The regression?model showed that, ?the average?size of the market,?the difference of capita GDP?and?trade imbalance all have?significant influence on?Sino-US?intra industry trade in agricultural products. The average market size has a positive correlation with Sino-US agricultural products intra industry trade when the difference of capita GDP and the trade imbalance have negative effect on Sino-US agricultural products intra industry trade. Key words: Agricultural Products; Intra Industry Trade; Trade Index; Influence?Factors 中美农产品产业内贸易水平及影响因素实证研究 11国际经济与贸易（1）班 2011333510107 李佳怡 一、引言 美国是中国重要的贸易伙伴，中美两国长时间以来在多个领域都有贸易合作。20世纪90年代以来, 中美经济贸易关系进入稳定发展阶段，中美之间的贸易获得了迅速发展。中国加入WTO以后，中美