哈工大机器学习_丁宇新_第六章答案.docVIP

Machine Learning Chapter6 14S051053-汪洋 6.1 Ans: We can get that when two of patients do laboratory tests are positive, cancer and (cancer posterior probability can be expressed as: P(canner|+，+)，P((cancer|+，+)。 That last is a two test because it is independent of each other, so: P(+,+|cancer)=P(+|cancer)P(+|cancer) Also we can get that: P(+|cancer) P(+|cancer) P(cancer)=0.98*0.98*0.008=0.0076832 P(+|(cancer) P(+|(cancer) P((cancer)=0.03*0.03*0.992=0.0008928 P(+,+) = P(+,+|cancer) P(cancer) + P(+,+|(cancer)P((cancer) =0.0076832+0.0008928=0.008576 So： P(canner|+，+)＝0.0076832/0.008576=0.895896 P