2011年对外贸易形势及相关政策分析报告.docVIP

The current trade environment analysis and new policy adjustment in 2011 Topic Chinese English 商务部当前外贸形势分析及政策调整 the current trade environment analysis ( by MOC ) 目前外贸环境分析： 有利因素： 外需保持适度增长。 b. 我国出口总体竞争力仍然较强。 c. 十二五规划为外贸发展注入新活力。 不利因素 ： 全球贸易复苏势头明显放缓。 b. 国际环境不确定、不稳定因素增多。 c. 出口面临国内五大压力 ： 1)原材料上涨 2)劳动力成本上升，用工短缺 3)人民币升值压力大 4) 节能、减排压力大 5) 融资成本压力大 2011年欧盟市场分析： 27个国家，5亿人口，2010年欧元区经济增长1.7%，个人消费增长1.2%。2010年欧盟区失业率为10% 。高债务，高赤字。 特点：（1）失业率高起，抑制欧盟消费回暖。 （2）信贷紧缩，制约贸易融资、投资。 （3）财政赤字，拖累欧盟经济增长。 （4） 外需下降。 （5）主权债务危机进一步恶化，影响金融稳定。 执行更严厉的反倾销政策 欧盟将要长达10年的经济低迷时期 The current foreign trade environment analysis : Advantage : the oversea requirement sustains proper growth . We still own the strong exportation Competitive advantages . The twelfth five years’ plan inject the new energy to the foreign trade’s development . Disadvantage : The international trade recovery become slower . The uncertain factors increases for the international trade environment . The exporter is facing following five pressure : The price of the raw material is growing up . The labor cost is growing up . CNY is appreciating The energy conservation cost is growing up . Financing difficulties 2010 - 2011 European Union market analysis Total 27 countries , 0.5 billion population . 2010 : The economic growth is 1.7% , the private spending growth is 1.2% , the unemployment rate is 10% High debts , high deficit 。 the high unemployment will block the private spending’s recovery . The tightened credit will block the trade financing and the trade investment. The finance deficit will block the economics’ growth . The international market requirement is decreasing . The sovereignty debt crisis will further worsen ，the financing situation will become unstable . 出口退税政策调整趋势 The VA