我国城镇老年照料成本影响因素分析.pdf

At present,all the world’S developed countries have entered the aging society, many developing countries are or will Soon enter all aging society．In 1999，and China has entered the aging society is aging society earlier entered one of the developing countries．There excessive speed,such as aging．social endowment pressure has inerensed，the level of urban and rural low—income elderly,the empty nest and old growth faster problem． This paper from Chinats present situation and the aging of the characteristics of elderly care in the cities and towns on the baSis of demand,expounded China’s urban elderly care cost structure．the use of statistical model DEMATEL economic COSt of care for the elderly factors statistical analysis，that affect old age pension COSt dries and towns the key factor in the cost of caring for the elderly constitute a comprehensive study and the way in which to improve the use of elderly care resollre酷and improve the efficiency of the related quality of elderly care policy proposals，the establishment of better urban pension security system，alleviating social and family pension pressure． Finally,the papers from the increased usc of coSt—efficient care，housing， medical care related to the protection countermeasures，and improve the basic old-age security system three open discussion,笛the starting point for the proposed community building,and pension agency support．housing provident f11nd reform and improve the soundmedical insurance and old·age security system rationalization proposals． Key words：aging society care．demand affect key factor 第一章引言 §1．1研究的目的 1．1．1问题的引出 如今由于老年人口的增加、老年寿命的延长等原因，世界各国的老龄化程度不断 提高，人口老龄化不仅仅是人口结构的变化，它对一国的政治、经济和社会都将带来 重大的影响，因此对养老问题的研究就具有很强的现实意义。 首先，我国劳动年龄人口赡养负担加重。我国不仅是人口大国，而且随着社会经 济的发展，人民生活水平的提高，我国人口年龄结构正发生着急剧转变，即老年人口 在总人口中所占比例不断上升。据人口学家的预测，2020年我国65岁及以上人口占总 人13比重将达到11．3％，2050年这一指标将达到21．2％。这会给目前我国的经济发展 带来沉重的负担，引发许多的社会问题。劳动年龄人口对老年人口的赡养负担加重。n1 其次，老年的生活质量下降。身心健康状况下降是影响老年生活质量的重要因素 之一，与此相关的心理、膳食和社会因素也不容忽视。研究表明，有大约1／3左右的老 年存在失落、孤独、抑郁、焦虑等心理问题‘