智能电网建设项目风险管理研究.pdfVIP

ABSTRAC．I’ ·刨ecmc power industry is a basic industry which have a close relations嘶tll廿1e natlo删economy and the people’s livelihood and it is a pillar industry for the deVelopment of the national economy．The grid construction projects possess char∽t哪t1∞of comprehensiveness，speciallity and technicality．The smart grid is put to州盯d with inevitable requirement of economic society development．Laurge 1nVes锄en‘alld long construction are demanded by the projects．And in construction penods，e唧bnds of uncertainties and unforeseen factors exit，so risk mallagemem is pre竹y 1mponant in smart grid construction．This paper expounds the f．eature of risk 1denti士icatlon in smart grid construction project，based on deep research on meories of nsk managemem，and a double criterion for risk identification is presented based on cons仃uctlon nsk and economy risk．Then fury hierachical analysis and expenst weight evaJu撕0n index are used to form series of combined weight for cons仃uction riSk．Then tne triangular如zzy number of the alternatives could be sorted by gravity model approach and double coefficient method，then the project risk evaluation couldbe concluded·At laSt，an instant is provided that the risk of bidding progr锄for the construcnon project of GIS converting station in Jinan is evaluated，for which a risk evaluation Sequencing is formed based on fuzzy hierachical analysis．In the end，the risk coping strategy is presented． Keyw。rd：smart grid，risk management,risk evaluati。n，昀meraucllic甜aIl甜ysis； 目录 第一章 绪论????????????????????????????1 1．1研究背景与意义?????????????????????????1 1．2风险管理的国内研究现状?????????????????????1 1．3风险管理的国外研究现状?????????????????????2 1．4本论文选题意义和研究的主要内容?????????????????4 第二章项目风险评价的基本理论???????????????????．．7 2．1项目风险管理的主要理论?????????????????????7 2．2项目的风险识别?????????????????????????8 2．3项目的风险评价????????????????????????．．10 2．4本章小结???????????????????????????．．12 第三章智能电网项目的风险识别???????????????????13 3．1智能电网建设项目风险的特点??????????????????．．13 3．2智能电网项目的风险识别流程??????????????????．．15 3．3智能电网项目的风险识别的双