棉花补贴.docVIP

基于多目标规划的棉花补贴资金分配优化模型及应用 摘要：棉花良种补贴分配方案的政策关系到我国棉农生产积极性和棉花产业的发展，而政策的制定依据较多是定性分析。本文在收集棉花主产区相关资料和综合考虑补贴分配的公平与效率性的基础上，运用数据包络分析和多目标规划的方法，通过构造补贴分配评价函数，建立棉花补贴分配的优化模型，以定量的方式将补贴分配到各省。并根据决策者对公平和效率的偏好，给出灵活产生不同偏好分配方式的依据，同时对各种分配方式进行客观评价，并提出相关结论。本研究表明，现行的我国棉花补贴资金分配注重公平，缺乏效率，存在较大的政策改进空间。 关键词：补贴分配 补贴评价函数 数据包络分析 多目标规划 Multi-objective programming-based optimization model for allocation of Cotton Subsidy Fund and Application YUAN Fang ( College of Economics＆Land Management Wuhan 430070) Abstract: The Policy of Cotton Subsidy Allocation scheme for improved breed is related to the Production initiative of Cotton growers and Development of Cotton Industry. However, the basis for formulating the policy is mostly qualitative. This article uses Data Envelopment Analysis and Multi-objective Programming method to establish the Cotton Subsidy Allocation Optimization Model aiming at distributing Cotton Subsidy to provinces in quantitative ways by constructing Evaluation Function of Subsidy Allocation on the basis of collections of Relevant Data from Major Cotton Production Areas and overall consideration of Fairness and Efficiency in Subsidy Allocation. In addition, basis for flexible Allocation Strategy in different Preference is introduced according to preference of decision makers for fairness and efficiency. Meanwhile, various allocation methods are to be evaluated objectively and Conclusion are reached in the end. This research indicates that the present Cotton Subsidy in our country pays more attention to Fairness ,which lacks of Efficiency, leaving much room for the Policy to get improved. Key words: Allocation of Subsidy; Function of Subsidy Evaluation; Data Envelopment Analysis; Multi-Objective Programming 1 补贴资金分配问题的提出 1994年我国实施棉花市场化改革以来，特别是在加入WTO以，中国棉花进口量呈现出逐年递增的态势。2003年，进口棉花95.43万吨，比2002年增长3.6倍；2004年进口198.4万吨，比上年增长1.08倍；2005年进口265.3万吨，比上年增长33.7%；2006年进口380.62万吨，比上年增长43.5%。一方面是由于加入WTO后中国纺织品强劲的出口态势所引致的对棉花需求迅猛增长；另一方面也是由于部分发达国家，尤其是美国长期给予其棉花生产和出口的巨额补贴，在成本上形成了巨大的竞争优势，这种低成本棉花的大量进口，势必在