论现阶段稳定人民币率的意义及措施 论文样板.11.docVIP

分类号 密级 U D C 编号 本科毕业论文(设计) 题目 论现阶段稳定人民币汇率的意义及措施 系 别 继续教育学院 专 业 名 称 国际贸易 年 级 2009级 学 生 姓 名 冯曼琪 学 号 017609210903 指 导 教 师 贺艳群 二0一二年十月 摘要： 汇率的稳定对一国的经济健康发展起着至关重要的作用，而目前要求人民币汇率升值的呼声很高，投机风险加重，处理不当经济极易出现震荡。人民币汇率制度与经济发展不协调是出现这种情况的主要原因，所以必须对人民币汇率机制进行适当的调整，使其与经济发展相一致。在我国金融业改革开放力度不断加大的形势下，人们对人民币汇率制度的改革取向十分关心。一种思路认为现行人民币汇率制度短期内适合我国国情，应当坚持有管理的浮动汇率，但管理浮动本身应在汇率形成机制等方面作相应的调整，从长期看则应向人民币汇率单独浮动的方向发展；另一种思路则认为，人民币汇率制度改革应以单向的汇率目标区为改革取向，人民币汇率目标区的构想是：根据人民币的实际情况设立目标区，在确定中心汇率时，盯住包括美元、欧元、日元等与我国国际收支密切相关的一系列货币，根据人民币波动的实际情况和国内经济情况，设置人民币汇率目标区的上下限。汇率制度；人民币升值；经济风险The RMB exchange rate system and economic development is not harmonious is the main cause of appear this kind of circumstance, so must to the RMB exchange rate mechanism adjusted, make its consistent with economic development. In our countrys financial sector reform and opening up under the situation of increasing continuously, people on the renminbi exchange rate regime reform orientation are very concerned about. A line of thought the present renminbi exchange rate regime in the short term suitable for Chinas national conditions, should adhere to a managed floating exchange rate, but management floating itself should be in exchange rate formation mechanism and so on of the corresponding adjustment, in the long run to the exchange rate for the renminbi shall be separately floating direction; Another train of thought are of the opinion that the RMB exchange rate system reform should be one-way exchange rate target zone for reform orientation, the RMB exchange rate target zone idea is: according to the actual situation of the establishment of target zone, in the determination of the central rate, gaze at including the dollar, the euro, the yen and Chinas international balance of payments closely related to