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chapter32010-1

Chapter III Prospects and the Main Problems of Chinas Economic Development 一、China is the world’s focus in recent years 1、The focus of media attention 《Business Week》(2004-12-16):China’price 《Newsweek》(2005-5-9):China’s Century 《Fortune》(2005-5-16):Changing China 《Times》 (2005-5-27):China’s new revolution 2、The concern of Scholars 3、Politcal concerns 4、Why? 二、The reasons to explain Why China became the world’s focus 1、The stagnation in developed countries 2、The outstanding performance of economy in China 三、Growth miracle(1978-2007):the economic performance since 1978 1、The average annual growth rate of GDP is 9.7% (1)Increased by 16 times in 29 years:362.4 billion yuan(1978)、24.66 trillion yuan(2007) (2)The fourth-largest economy in the world (by the official exchange rate) (3)The second largest economy in the world(by purcasing power parity) 三、Growth miracle(1978-2007):the economic performance since 1978 2、The average annual growth of trade is 17.2% (1)Increased 108 times in 29 years ※ 1978:the total trade value $20.6 billion;2007: is over $2170 billion; (2)The second-largest country to attract foreign investment : $60-70 billion per year; (3)The largest country of foreign exchange reserves :over $ 1.5 trillion 四、The impacts of China’s economic growth 1、The story of ordinary people 2、A large number of the elimination of poverty 3、Provide the world with cheap products 4、The stabilizing force in the East Asian financial crisis 5、Has became a increment major power and the engine of economic growth in East Asia and the whole world 五、 The meaning of maintain rapid growth 1、For China (1)is the only way to catch up with DCs (2)to Creat new jobs for urban and rural populations (3)to compensate the losers of interests in the transition process 2、For the whole world 3、could China be able to maintain high growth in the next decades? 六、The prospects for future growth:the optimistic estimate of China’s future 1、Who is the largest economy in the wo

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