NCEPGlobalEnsemblerecentdevelopmentsandplans.pptVIP

NCEP Global Ensemble: recentdevelopments and plans Mozheng Wei*, Zoltan Toth,Dick Wobus*, Yuejian Zhu, Dingchen Hou* and Bo Cui* NOAA/NCEP/EMC, USA *SAIC at NOAA/NCEP/EMC 7 April 2005 2nd SRNWP Workshop on Short Range EnsembleBologna, Italy 7-8 April, 2005 OUTLINE NCEP GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SYSTEM A SUMMARY OF VARIOUS SCHEMES EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS DISCUSSION, NCEP 2005 PLAN AND OTHER RESEARCH ACTIVITIES NCEP GLOBAL ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEMTHE BREEDING METHOD DATA ASSIM: Growing errors due to cycling through NWP forecasts BREEDING: - Simulate effect of obs by rescaling non