global_change_03.ppt

Global Climate Change David D. Houghton Population Projections Historical data from 1900 to 1990 (based on Durand, 1967; Demeny, 1990; UN, 1998, for medium) and IPCC IS92 scenarios (Leggett et al., 1992; Pepper et al., 1992) from 1990 to 2100. Population Projections Global Population (billion) Economic Zones OECD90 – Developed Countries REF – Economic Reforming Countries ASIA –Developing Countries of Asia ALM – Developing Countries Elsewhere Economy GNP Income per capita in the world and by SRES region. Numbers in brackets give minimum and maximum values of the SRES scenarios. The range for 1990 illustrates differences in base-year calibration across models. Income per Capita by World and Regions (103 1990 US$ per capita) Region 1990 A1 A2 B1 B2 A1 A2 B1 B2 REF IND ASIA ALM WORLD 2050 2100 DEV 0.7-1.1 15.9 3.9 10.9 8.1 66.5 11.0 40.2 18.0 (11.4-16.7) (3.3-5.1) (7.5-14.8) (3.9-8.4) (41.4-69.8) (10.3-13.7) (40.2-45.2) (14.2-21.5) OECD90 17.8-20.6 50.1 34.6 49.8 39.2 109.2 58.5 79.7 61.0 (39.4-62.3) (32.3-54.0) (40.3-52.0) (35.1-42.2) (69.8-115.7) (48.0-78.7) (70.6-84.7) (50.1-73.2) Greenhouse Gas Emissions SO2 emissions (TgS) CH4 emissions (TgCH4) CO2 emissions (GtC) N2O emissions (TgN) Year Year Global Energy Structure Global primary energy structure, shares (%) of oil and gas, coal, and non-fossil energy sources – historical de