计量经济学Reort.doc

Introductory Econometrics about Chinese tax revenue report Class: 10-3 Student NO. : 22 English name: Bob Chinese name: Lu Liqiang Contents Background Data Model T-test F-test —6 Summary -- Appendix Background In China, the tax revenue has been popular. We only know how much we need to pay, but we don’t know what influence the tax. In recent years, the tax rate is increasing, as a Chinese, we should know the change about Chinese tax revenue. What does influence the tax revenue? Maybe many ways. I chose three elements, than I will talk about them, and analyze that how to influence the tax revenue. In order to study the influence of the main causes of Chinas tax revenue growth and gross domestic product (GDP), the fiscal expenditure (ED), commodity retail price index (RPI) as the explained variable, the tax income (Y) for multiple linear regression. Collected from the 《China statistical yearbook》 2011, 1978-2009 data on various influencing factors. Chinese tax revenue and the relevant data Time（T） Retail price index（RPI）/% Fiscal expenditure（ED）/亿元 Gross Domestic Product（GDP）/亿元 Tax revenue （Y）/亿元 1978 100.7 1122.09 3645.217 519.28 1979 102 1281.79 4062.579 537.82 1980 106 1228.83 4545.624 571.7 1981 102.4 1138.41 4891.561 629.89 1982 101.9 1229.98 5323.351 700.02 1983 101.5 1409.52 5962.652 775.59 1984 102.8 1701.02 7208.052 947.35 1985 108.8 2004.25 9016.037 2040.79 1986 106 2204.91 10275.18 2090.73 1987 107.3 2262.18 12058.62 2140.36 1988 118.5 2491.21 15042.82 2390.47 1989 117.8 2823.78 16992.32 2727.4 1990 102.1 3083.59 18667.82 2821.86 1991 102.9 3386.62 21781.5 2990.17 1992 105.4 3742.2 26923.48 3296.91 1993 113.2 4642.3 35333.92 4255.3 1994 121.7 5792.62 48197.86 5126.88 1995 114.8 6823.72 60793.73 6038.04 1996 106.1 7937.55 71176.59 6909.82 1997 100.8 9233.56 78973.03 8234.04 1998 97.4 10798.18 84402.28 9262.8 1999 97 13187.67 89677.05 10682.58 2000 98.5 15886.5 99214.5