英国退出欧盟.docxVIP

Britains future英国的未来Goodbye Europe别了，欧洲A British exit from the European Union looks increasingly possible. It would be a reckless gamble英国退出欧盟的可能性看上去越来越大。这可能是一场不计后果的赌博。Dec 8th 2012 | from the print edition“BRITAIN does not dream of some cosy, isolated existence on the fringes of the European Community,” asserted Margaret Thatcher in 1988. Now, increasingly, it does. Opinion polls show that most Britons are in favour of leaving the European Union. Baroness Thatchers Conservative Party, which took Britain into Europe four decades ago, is divided between those who long for an arms-length relationship and those who want to walk out. The second camp is swelling.玛格丽特·撒切尔在1988年宣称：“英国并不梦想着成为欧共体边缘多少有点惬意和孤立的国家。”如今，英国每天都在做着这样的梦。民调显示，大多数英国人赞成脱离欧洲联盟。40年前，撒切尔女男爵的保守党将英国带进欧盟，如今它已分裂成两派。一派希望同欧盟保持正常的关系，另一派希望走出欧洲大陆，此派的阵营正在壮大。Even the fiercest British critics of the EU are astonished by the speed at which things are moving. Parliamentary rebellions over Europe are becoming easier and easier to organise. Euroscepticism is hardening in the Conservative Party, in much the same way as social conservatism has gone from being a powerful current in Americas Republican Party to an intolerant orthodoxy. The United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP), which wants to leave the EU, has abruptly moved from the political margins to the mainstream. A referendum on Britains membership of the EU now seems a matter of timing.就连对欧盟持最强烈批评态度的英国舆论也对事态的发展速度感到惊讶。组织针对欧洲大陆的议会起义变得越来越容易。就像社会保守主义从美国共和党内的主流变成狭隘的正统观念一样，保守党内的欧洲怀疑主义也在强硬起来。支持脱欧的英国独立党(UKIP)在一夜之间从政治的边缘变成主流。如今，对英国的欧盟成员资格进行全民公投似乎成为迫在眉睫的事情。Continental Europeans are surprised too—and annoyed. They are bewildered that the British should be talking of leaving a club that many believe has shifted decisively in a free-trading, Anglo-Saxon direction in the past two decades. They also resent the way Britain seems to be using the threat of an exit as a bargaining tool, especially at a time when the euro is in crisis. As they see it, Britain wants to carve out a privil