CementOutlook2009-2030.ppt

* Per Home, Lifetime C02 Savings ICF Home Over Frame Co2 Metric Tons, Per Home Additional C02 Emitted by Cement Production Total Heating Cooling C02 Saving: 92 Tons per Home Conservatively Assumes 50 Year Life of Home Potential “Green” Gains: ICF Related Systems Incremental Gains in Cement Consumption, Metric Tons 2030: Housing Starts Average 1.9 Million Annually. ICF Related Systems Reach 30% Market Share 10% of Total Housing Starts 20% 25% 30% Long-Term Nonresidential Outlook 2009-2030 Energy: 2007-2030 Clean Energy Hydro, Wind, Nuclear Successful clean energy policy dependent on building new sources. New energy sources require concrete Nuclear Power Plant Expansion Location 28 Licenses Submitted FY 2007 –FY 2009 Department of Energy Forecasts 110 Billion Kilowatthour Increase In Nuclear Energy Supplied Electricity by 2030 Long-Term Consumption Outlook 2009-2030 Cement Consumption: Long Term Million Metric Tons Growth in Context of Population Changes, Slower US Economic Growth, Strong Global Growth, Climate Change Legislation and the “Green” Revolution. Cement Share of Cementitious Materials Share of Total Cementitious Materials Increased Use of Fly Ash and Slag Reduces Cement Share Long-Term Supply Assessments 2009-2030 U.S. Supply Balance: No New Capacity Expansion Plans Million Metric Tons Cement Consumption Supply Gap: 67 MMT Cement Production Closing the Supply Gap 67 MMT = 2030 Two Options: Foreign Source: 40-45 MMT Import Capacity Domestic Source: 30 Plants (2 MMT per Plant) U.S. Import Dependence: No New Capacity Million Metric Tons Implies 25 MMT of New Terminal Capacity Before Settling On Import Sourcing Strategy…. - $ Per Barrel, WTI (estimated), Dry Bulk Freight Rates Synchronized World Growth: Characterized by Emerging Middle Class in Developing Economies Long-Term Supply Assessments Regulation Estimated U.S. Cement Clinker Capacity by ScenarioMillion Metric Tons U.S. Supply Balance: EPA Mercury Impacts Million Metric Tons Cemen