Measuring the Cost of International Trade in Services WIOD测量的国际服务贸易的成本wiod.pptVIP

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Measuring the Cost of International Trade in Services WIOD测量的国际服务贸易的成本wiod.ppt

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Measuring the Cost of International Trade in Services WIOD测量的国际服务贸易的成本wiod

Measuring the Cost of International Trade in Services Sébastien Miroudot (OECD), Jehan Sauvage (OECD) and Ben Shepherd (Developing Trade Consultants Ltd.) WIOD Conference, 26-28 May 2010, Vienna Why focusing on trade costs in services? Services represent two-thirds of economic activity but trade in services is less than 5% of GDP (as opposed to 20% for goods). Services are less “non-tradable” than in the past. Trade costs should explain why services are less traded. Definition of trade costs: the full range of costs a firm confronts when it decides to sell its services overseas. Quantification of barriers to trade in services: top-down versus bottom-up approach A theory-consistent measure of trade costs (Novy, 2009) Based on the standard Anderson and Van Wincoop (2003) gravity model. Trade costs are calculated as the geometric average of bilateral trade costs for exports from country i to country j and from country j to country i, expressed relative to domestic trade costs in each country. The equation below presents this measure in ad valorem equivalent terms: Trade costs in services, 1995-2007 We construct Novy (2009) measures of trade costs in services for up to 61 countries and 12 services industries. We also compile data for 17 goods sectors as a point of comparison. In all calculations, the elasticity of substitution sigma is set equal to 8 (equivalent to gamma = 7, a reasonable assumption for firm-level heterogeneity). Data sources: Intranational trade flows (domestic output minus exports): EU Klems, OECD Stan and OECD I/O tables, complemented with national data. Bilateral trade flows: OECD ITCS (goods) and TISP (services) database. Comparison of trade costs in goods and services USA vis-à-vis major partners (2000, per cent ad valorem equivalent) World aggregate trade costs indices, 1995-2007 (1995=100) China trade costs indices, 1995-2005 (1995=100) Trade costs indices for selected services industries Trade costs and regional trade agreements Overall trad