AStochasticParameterizationSchemewithin.pptVIP

A Stochastic Parameterization Scheme withinNCEP Global Ensemble Forecast SystemDingchen Hou, Zoltan Toth and Yuejian Zhu  Acknowledgements: Mark Iredell, Henry Juang, Richard Wobus, Bo Cui, Cecile Penland and Prashant SardeshmukhWeiyu Yang, James Purser and Mozheng Wei  OUTLINE INTRODUCTION A STOCHASTIC PHYSICS SCHEME Formulation Characteristics of the Perturbations RESULTS OF EXPERIMENTS Spaghetti diagrams Outliers Ensemble mean and spread Probability forecasts Comparison with a bias-correction procedure S