Modeling of Cotton Yields in AmuDarya River Floodplains of Uzbekistan Integrating Multitemporal RS.pdfVIP
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Modeling of Cotton Yields in AmuDarya River Floodplains of Uzbekistan Integrating Multitemporal RS
Modeling of Cotton Yields in the Amu Darya River Floodplains of Uzbekistan Integrating
Multitemporal Remote Sensing and Minimum Field Data
Zhou Shi, Gerd R. Ruecker,* Marc Mueller, Christopher Conrad, Nazar Ibragimov, John P. A. Lamers,
Christopher Martius, Guenter Strunz, Stefan Dech, and Paul L. G. Vlek
ABSTRACT
Increased knowledge about the spatial distribution of cotton
(Gossypium hirsutum L.) yield in the Khorezm region in Uzbekistan
supports the optimal allocation of resources. This research estimated
the spatial distribution of cotton yields in Khorezm by integrating
remote sensing, field data, and modeling. The agro-meteorological
model used was based on Monteith’s biomass production model with
multitemporal MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiom-
eter)-derived parameters from 2002 as primary inputs. The photosyn-
thetically active radiation (PAR) and environmental stress scalars on
crop development were estimated with meteorological information.
Using high-spatial-resolution Landsat 7 ETM1 images, the cotton
area was extracted and the cotton fraction determined within the
coarse spatial resolution MODIS pixels. The spatial resolution of the
MODISFPARdatawas improved by using an empirical relationship to
the higher-resolution MODIS NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegeta-
tion Index) data. The estimated raw cotton yield ranged from 1.09 to
3.76 Mg ha21. The modeling revealed a spatial trend of higher yields
in upstream areas and in locations closer to the irrigation channels
and lower yields in downstream areas and at sites more distant to the
channels. The validated yield estimations showed a 10% deviation from
official governmental statistics. The established agro-meteorological
model based on freely available MODIS data and a minimum of field
data input is a promising technique for economic and operational late-
season estimation of spatially distributed cotton yield over large regions
on which management adjustments could be made.
ACHIEVING ECOLOGIC
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