一种粒子群优化贝叶斯网络的财务预警方法一种粒子群优化贝叶斯网络的财务预警方法.pdfVIP

Computer Science and Application 计算机科学与应用, 2016, 6(3), 195-201 Published Online March 2016 in Hans. /journal/csa /10.12677/csa.2016.63025 Particle Swarm Optimized Bayesian Network for Financial Early Warning Mingjuan Xu, Shaoshuang Xu School of Information Engineering, West Anhui University, Lu’an Anhui Received: Mar. 8th, 2016; accepted: Mar. 27th, 2016; published: Mar. 30th, 2016 Copyright ? 2016 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Abstract It has important theoretical significance and practical value to swarm intelligent forecasting and its applications in financial early warning of enterprises. On basis of the construction of the evalu- ation index system of financial capability of corporation, this paper proposes a new method of fi- nancial early warning by cooperating particle warm optimization into the parameter learning of Bayesian network. The experimental results on the data of a group of listing companies and com- parisons have shown that the proposed algorithm has better effectiveness and the average correct rate in the financial crisis early warning. Keywords Financial Early Warning, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Bayesian Network, Cash Flow Capacity, Data Mining 一种粒子群优化贝叶斯网络的财务预警方法 徐明鹃，徐绍双 皖西学院信息工程学院，安徽 六安 收稿日期：2016年3月8日；录用日期：2016年3月27日；发布日期：2016年3月30日