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HARMO14-有毒气体再现通过CFD仿真及贝叶斯推论_en
TOXIC RELEASE EVENT RECONSTRUCTION IN A RAIL
STATION BY CFD SIMULATIONS AND BAYESIAN
INFERENCE
M. LE GUELLEC, G. VATON, C. SOUPRAYEN - FLUIDYN
P. ARMAND - CEA
Harmo 14, Kos Island, Oct. 2-6 2011
The Problem
Context : Contaminant release during an attack in a rail way station
Objective : Provide real time decision tool to manage the emergency
planning and improve the mitigation strategy in the station and in the
urban vicinity.
Main problem: Source term estimation – source parameters retrieval
(location, mass, time) given a set of observation data.
Railway
station
Harmo 14, Kos Island, Oct. 2-6 2011
Source term estimation
Structure of a source event reconstruction
Contaminant Observed data by the Modeled
release sensor network concentrations
Parameters
recovery Dispersion
optimized model
algorithm
Convergence -Yes Source term Convergence -No
estimation
Emergency
planning
Consequences
mitigation
Harmo 14, Kos Island, Oct. 2-6 2011
Source term estimation
What is challenging?
- Domain size inclu
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