Preparing for Trump’s America.docVIP

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Preparing for Trump’s America.doc

PAGE  PAGE 3 Preparing for Trump’s America   When Donald Trump first de- clared his candidacy for U.S. President, he was considered little more than a noisy troublemaker. However, now that he has been sworn in as President of the United States, the world must prepare for changes brought by the Trump administration.   Although Trump didn’t systematically elaborate on his foreign policy ideas, some valuable clues can be found in speeches he made during the campaign. First, Trump strongly advocates the “America first”doctrine, and his foreign policy echoes an old isolationism. Compared with his predecessors since World War II, Trump demonstrates a weaker desire for American global leadership. He opposes excessive U.S. involvement in world affairs and objects to so many overseas burdens, arguing that the U.S. should focus on domestic problems. Second, Trump is a nationalist, economically. He cares about U.S. interests and economic holdings and sees globalization in a negative light, opposing free trade. Trump has seemed just as skeptical about global governance and international cooperation. For example, he has asserted that the Paris Agreement, which deals with climate change, is unnecessary and that some international organizations are unreliable.   Based on these clues, the Trump administration’s foreign policy is expected to veer in a new direction.   First, the U.S. will practice more strategic retrenchment and retreating. The Obama administration (2009-2017) learned a lesson in over-reaching from the Bush administration (2001-2009) and carried out strategic contraction to some extent. For example, Obama ended the Iraq and Afghanistan wars and showed more restraint and prudence in launching overseas military interventions. It now seems that Trump may go even further. Of course, since the U.S. has considerable overseas interests, Trump will find it hard to practice complete isolationism. Instead, he will likely pursue a policy of selective participation

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