Procon clinical debate It is acceptable to stop large multicentre randomized controlled trials at interim analysis for futility 英文参考文献.docVIP
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Procon clinical debate It is acceptable to stop large multicentre randomized controlled trials at interim analysis for futility 英文参考文献
Critical Care February 2005 Vol 9 No 1 Schoenfeld and Meade
Review
Pro/con clinical debate: It is acceptable to stop large multicentre
randomized controlled trials at interim analysis for futility
David A Schoenfeld1 and Maureen O Meade2
1Professor of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Professor, Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Massachusetts General
Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
2Associate Professor, Department of Medicine and Department of Clinical Epidemiology Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario,
Canada
Corresponding author: David A Schoenfeld, dschoenfeld@
Published online: 9 December 2004
Critical Care 2005, 9:34-36 (DOI 10.1186/cc3013)
This article is online at /content/9/1/34
? 2004 BioMed Central Ltd
Abstract
A few recent, large, well-publicized trials in critical care medicine have been stopped for futility. In the
critical care setting, stopping for futility means that independent review committees have elected to
stop the trial early — based on predetermined rules — since the likelihood of finding a treatment effect is
low. For bedside clinicians the idea of futility in a clinical trial can be confusing. In the present article,
two experts in the conduct of clinical trials debate the role of futility-stopping rules.
Keywords clinical research, futility, interim analysis, randomized controlled trials, stopping rules
The scenario
You are a clinician in an intensive care unit and you have
were very relevant clinical questions that would impact on
your treatment decisions. Your concern is based on the fact
that you are uncertain whether clinical trials should ever be
stopped for futility.
recently heard that some very large trials have been stopped
at interim analysis for futility. Although you have not yet seen
the results, this cessation concerns you because you were
anxiously awaiting the results of these trials since you felt they
Pro:
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